College football is keeping us entertained! I am so excited to deliver you weekly expert picks so that together we can win some NCAAF bets all season long. Here are my best college football bets for the conference championships:
College Football Pick #1 - Washington (+10.0)
College Football Pick #2 - Georgia (-5.5)
College Football Pick #3 - Michigan (-23.5)
Current Record: 21-11 (+5.28 units)
Florida came a few points shy from covering the underdog spread to give us an undefeated week.
College Football Expert Pick #1: Washington (+10.0) vs oregon
| Team | Spread | OVER/UNDER | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Huskies | +10.0 (-120) | O 66.0(-105) | +290 |
| Oregon Ducks | -10.0 (EVEN) | U 66.0(-115) | -380 |
An anticipated rematch in an all-or-nothing Pac-12 Championship kicks off on Friday as theOregon Ducks(11-1 SU, 9-2-1 ATS) look to get revenge on the Washington Huskies (12-0 SU, 5-6-1 ATS). When they last met, Washington barely nudged the 36-33 victory to hand Oregon its only loss of the season.
These two sit first and second in the nation for passing yards, courtesy of Heisman Trophy favorite Bo Nix and fellow contender Michael Penix Jr. Each have around 3,900 passing yards, while Nix surges ahead with 37 touchdowns compared to Penix Jr.'s 32.
The Ducks' rushing game will be a difference maker here, where they earn 175 YPG (ranked 38th) compared to the Huskies 122 YPG (ranked 102nd). RB Bucky Irving sits among the best with over 1,000 yards across the season with 10 touchdowns. RB Jordan James is a sturdy back-up plan, trudging along with 661 yards and 10 touchdowns, too.
Washington may be a bit tired, now. We've seen the Huskies have plenty of close-calls lately, with their last two meetings being decided by three-points or fewer. That exhaustion may play a factor into keeping up with Oregon, which has been ripping through competitors with an average scoring margin of +25.
Still, it's the Pac-12 Championship and both these groups are moving onto the Big 10 next year. The intensity of the matchup will add to keeping the scoreboard tight. Expect Oregon to win outright, but dabble in the profit of Washington covering the double-digit spread.
— College Football Report (@CFBRep) November 28, 2023Kirk Ferentz on the upcoming Big Ten Championship:
“If we win, it might screw things up (for the CFB Playoff), that might be kind of funny.” pic.twitter.com/0mTJCKJuDw
College Football Expert Pick #2: georgia (-5.5) vs alabama
| Team | Spread | OVER/UNDER | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Bulldogs | -5.5(-115) | O 54.0(-110) | -210 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | +5.5 (-105) | U 54.0(-110) | +180 |
Somehow, someway, Nick Saban's Alabama is never out of the picture. The Tide (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) can still sneak into the CFP, but they'll need to clinch a crucial win over Georgia (12-0 SU, 4-7-1 ATS)in the SEC Championship.
It's been a Dawgs world the last three seasons of college football. Georgia stays hunting for a national championship three-peat, where it would make history as the first to do so in nearly a century.
Personally, I thought Alabama was done after the Week 2 upset to Texas. But, nine-straight wins have kept them in the playoff picture. Too bad that's not impressive at all to Georgia, who are riding a 29-game hot streak.
The Bulldogs have been on an upward trend in the latter half of the season, looking more cohesive. Many argue they haven't truly been tested, with their tightest matchup with Missouri being decided by nine-points. Still, Georgia moves the ball down the field well, earning 7.1 yards per play (ranked fourth).
The defending champs have plenty of scoring options, their rushing corps has 32 touchdowns while their receiving group has helped out with 25. Meanwhile, QB Carson Beck has looked more comfortable in his role with 10 touchdowns in his last five outings.
— Jordan Reid (@Jordan_Reid) November 1, 2023Updated QB prospect hot board coming next week.
Have enjoyed going through the tape of #UGA QB Carson Beck. Natural and quick release. Shown tremendous growth this year. pic.twitter.com/tiT2fRu7K9
Give me the Dawgs against the spread.
College Football Expert Pick #3: michigan (-23.5) vs iowa
| Team | Spread | OVER/UNDER | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | -23.5 (-110) | O 35.5(-110) | -2500 |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | +23.5 (-110) | U 35.5 (-110) | +1000 |
The only thing standing betweenMichigan (12-0 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) and the College Football Playoff are the Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2 SU, 6-5-1 ATS). Yup, the team that has only snagged over 20-points on four occasions this year butstillhas 10 wins.
The Hawkeyes have been doing the limbo with their totals getting historically lower and lower in the last few weeks. Yet, the UNDERs kept hitting, going 7-0 to round out the regular slate.
— College Football Report (@CFBRep) November 28, 2023Kirk Ferentz on the upcoming Big Ten Championship:
“If we win, it might screw things up (for the CFB Playoff), that might be kind of funny.” pic.twitter.com/0mTJCKJuDw
Now, Michigan and Iowa both have elite defenses that allow 12 PPG or fewer. However, there is a noticeable difference in the offense where the Hawkeyes gain just 18 PPG (ranked 120th). I mean, RB Blake Corum has more touchdowns (22) than Iowa's entire offense (20).
Taking a peek into history, Michigan dominates the Big 10 West with the last two conference championships being absolute blowouts over Iowa and Purdue. This season, the Wolverines thrashed through 108 points across three meetings with the West Division.
This is the largest spread of the week but I'll take Michigan to embarrass Iowa.
How To Place The Best College Football Bets
At any online sportsbookyou will find college football odds that look like the following:
Penn State: +5.5
Wisconsin: -5.5
OVER/UNDER: 58.5
The odds listed above arelines for the spread and total for a fictional Penn State/Wisconsin game. The plus (+) and minus (-) lines represent the spread, a line set by the books that a team must “cover” to win. In this circ*mstance,the minus (-) favorites, Wisconsin, must win by more than 5.5points to win a bet. Penn State, the plus underdogs, can lose by fivepoints or less.
The OVER/UNDER is as simple as it sounds. In this example, you choose if there will be OVER or UNDER 58.5 total points scored in the Badgers-Nittany Lions game.
Use our college football expert picks to help you choose your pick for a few college football games every weekend, and use our resources below to help enhance your college football betting skills.
More College Football Expert Picks And Betting Resources:
- College football picks
- College football futures
- College football scores
- Betting trends
- Power rankings
- College football consensuspicks
- National championship prop bets
